A season finale at Anfield with everything to play for
Liverpool return to Anfield for Round 38 of the Premier League on 24/05/2026, hosting Brentford in what promises to be a competitive season-ender. On paper the home side start as favourites — bookmakers give Liverpool a 1.80 quote and a market-implied probability above 55% — but the story beneath the odds is more nuanced. Liverpool sit fifth with 59 points after 37 matches, a team that has fired 62 goals across the campaign yet conceded 52; Brentford, comfortable in ninth on 52 points, have shown resilience and an appetite for draws, collecting 10 stalemates and netting 54 times. With both sides posting double-digit clean sheets (10 each), the fixture contains a mixture of attacking potency and defensive lapses that should make for an engaging 90 minutes.
Form, recent meetings and momentum
Liverpool’s end-of-season form reads uneven: a sequence of results that includes high-scoring wins and heavy losses, capped most recently by a 4-2 defeat at Aston Villa on 15 May where Virgil van Dijk was the standout performer in a losing effort. That volatility contrasts with Brentford’s tendency to grind out draws — their latest outing finished 2-2 with Crystal Palace on 17 May, with Dango Ouattara delivering the best rating for his side. The head-to-head between these teams has delivered entertainment too; their previous league meeting produced a 3-2 scoreline in Brentford’s favour, a sign that neither side tends to leave the pitch untroubled when they lock horns.
Why goals look likely at Anfield
Statistically, the indicators point toward an open game. Liverpool boast higher attacking metrics — more total shots, shots inside the box and dangerous attacks on average — and their home numbers show 33 goals scored versus just 19 conceded at Anfield, yet their away defensive record hints at instability. Brentford are no strangers to finding the net and have produced 21 away goals this season despite shipping 30 on the road; their knack for draws suggests they can both score and concede in the same match. Both teams also sit on healthy over-2.5 percentages for the campaign, and the recent pattern of high-scoring results supports the idea that more than two goals could be on the card.
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Prediction and betting suggestion
This fixture carries the feel of an Anfield push where Liverpool will chase goals but remain vulnerable to counters and set-piece transitions from Brentford. The combination of Liverpool’s attacking volume, Brentford’s scoring capability away from home, recent high-score results, and healthy season over-2.5 percentages for both clubs makes the goals market the most attractive value play here. Betting suggestion: back Over 2.5 goals.
