Pep Guardiola likens Premier League set-piece trend to NBA 3-pointers: 'You have to adapt'

Pep Guardiola likens Premier League set-piece trend to NBA 3-pointers: 'You have to adapt'

Pep Guardiola likens Premier League set-piece trend to NBA 3-pointers: 'You have to adapt'

Guardiola admits parts of the Premier League are less entertaining and says teams must adapt to set-piece emphasis. Betting takeaway: punters can still favour Manchester City to win, but consider markets on set-piece goals, corners or “fewer open-play goals” when wagering on Premier League fixtures.

Guardiola: Premier League’s Style Is Evolving — Set-Pieces Now Central

Pep Guardiola acknowledged he partly agrees with Arne Slot’s view that many Premier League games are less enjoyable to watch, but stressed that teams must adapt to the growing importance of set-pieces. The Manchester City manager likened the trend — long throw-ins, crowded penalty areas and tactical stopping of play — to the NBA’s three-point revolution triggered by Stephen Curry, arguing evolution demands tactical change rather than mere complaint.

From Corners to Long Throws: The New Arsenal of Set-Pieces

Guardiola pointed to the way clubs now design set-piece routines and exploit refereeing nuances in the box. “When I was a young boy we said the people in England celebrate corners and free-kicks like a goal,” he said, noting that certain teams influence how the league is played and how opponents must respond.

Refereeing and the Holding Debate

The City boss acknowledged that set-pieces disrupt the flow of matches and highlighted differences in how holding and pushing are officiated across leagues. He declined to outline a public solution to the problem of holding in the penalty area, saying he has already discussed solutions with his players and prefers to keep tactical details private.

What This Means for Manchester City and Their Next Match

City sit second in the table and head into a midweek Premier League fixture against Nottingham Forest with a clear focus on adapting to set-piece threats and refereeing tendencies. Guardiola’s comments underline a pragmatic approach: adapt tactics to the league’s physical and set-piece realities while protecting team rhythm.

Implications for Punters and Match Strategy

Guardiola’s admission that matches are increasingly decided by dead-ball situations suggests bettors should account for set-piece specialists and corner-heavy tactics.

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Markets to consider include set-piece goal scorers, total corners, and lower open-play goals — while still respecting Manchester City’s overall win probability in most fixtures.

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